★ What’s Next for iPhone

It was a hope of mine that Apple would ignore 2011’s update to the iPhone and iPod line and rest on their laurels until 2012. For most consumers, a new iPhone could be far off and they wouldn’t care. A new iPhone usually means it’s time to upgrade and this has been going on for years with iPods as the running joke is, “I JUST bought the latest iPod nano and there’s another one?” Personally, it’s not that consumers don’t care or that carriers are selling millions of the 1 year old iPhone 4 or that I don’t see many weak points that need to be resolved this year and thus warrant an updated iPhone. Those things didn’t help me arrive at this opinion.

Honestly, I’m tired of hearing about the next _____ from Apple. Maybe it’s my friends on Facebook and Twitter or the blogs I subscribe to on Google Reader. It is probably the fact that I’m the Apple Nut in my non-techie circles and thus have to deal with constant questioning from friends about a rumor they heard that the new iPhone is going to be razor thin and come out any day now. The constant questioning has me tired of iPhone and I love the HTC Sense UI for Android phones and love form factors and tiles that are being applied to Windows 7. Heck, WebOS was looking great until HP killed it. The thing is, I’m tired of iPhone so forgive me if my tone is a bit off. iOS5 has some things I have been wanting but it’s not enough to get me to switch from X to Apple if I were on another platform.

We all know that Apple has us. I’ve spent thousands on media and apps and car adapters. There’s no switching now but, if it wasn’t for the thousands of apps that aren’t available for other platforms, I would have gone back to Blackberry. That’s not really the focus of this post but it’s apparent that I’m alone here. I’m just bored of the sliders and boring springboard and all of the tapping I have to do of the home button to change apps or close apps. I’m sick of iTunes and how it integrates with my devices. iPad…well, iPad and I are still cool. We’re brotastic.

Deep down, I was hoping Apple would release iPad 3 and iPhone 5 next year at an event in January along with the ability to buy either of them with 3G and no voice and that the iPod touch would receive 3G or the entire iPod line would change as we know it and we’d see iPod (the touch with 3G) and iPod nano (the current clippable iPod with iOS and a data connection to sync runs with Nike and have iTunes Match on the go). No colors, nothing fancy just iPad, iPhone, iPod and iPod nano. Four devices to complete the mobile offerings from Apple along with MacBook (the current air) & MacBook Pro (MacBook Air shell with pro processing power). Apple would then reserve the MacPro for server and enterprise customers and the Mac Mini and iMac would be the only consumer machines. We’d FINALLY go back to the days when Steve returned to Apple and made 2 laptops and 2 desktops available and we’d have the 4 mobile products as well in an 8 product matrix that completed the picture of simplification across the board.

I think that’s what you call a tangent but I think it makes sense.

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There are too many rumors about what the next iPhone is to really weigh in on what we’ll see  next Tuesday. Everyone has guessed it will be thinner, have a larger home button or touch home button. Maybe the screen will be larger or it will go edge to edge and have a  curved back. The camera will improve and the ergonomics will be better. It’ll have an A5 chip with one gigabyte of ram. All of these things are exciting and likely to happen but some won’t happen and that’s what I’m thinking about.

What is missing on the next iPhone? What has Apple decided to leave out? You have to use deduction when rumor-mongering. Too few of us do that. Here are a few things I think the next iPhone won’t have.

  • Higher resolution screen
  • Larger Screen
  • 1080P Video Recording
  • Touch Sensitive Home Button
  • 3D
  • 1 Gigabyte of ram
  • 64GB Flash Storage
  • Additional Measurement Tools (adding to accelerometer, gyroscope, A-GPS, ambient light sensors)
  • HDMI Out
  • A Radically different design
There are those crazy iPhone 4S rumors but I disagree with them. The iPhone 4’s design has been hugely successful and, with improvements (whatever they may be), the current design can carry over to the next iPhone. Like last time, the iPhone 4 will become a $49 option for people who would like last  year’s iPhone. Not a bad deal. The design is perfect in many ways. I drop my iPhone once a week with no case on it and the back is scratched up all to hell and the front screen has a few huge scratches and the screen is cracked from the home button to the edge and parts of the metal band is starting to rust and I have yet to need a replacement iPhone. I replaced my original, 3G and 3GS 3-5 times each. This time, I haven’t had a single problem. I hope Apple fixes that damn antenna issue because I’m sick of dropped calls. Antennagate was real and I’m sorry we all gave up on it.
The screen won’t go any higher resolution, 1080P would be nice but c’mon, it’s not the top of my list for sure. It takes a lot of horsepower to edit 1080P video. Maybe next year. 3D is a joke and Apple knows it, the home button stays because Apple loves that damn button too much. HDMI out will remain an iPad only feature because it’s awkward using an iPhone while plugged in and there’s just not much to see when you display the iPhone screen on a TV. If it’s added, it’ll be an afterthought. The toolset of sensors already built into iPhone’s hardware is more than adequate for developers to build apps. Most haven’t unlocked all potentials yet of the data that iPhone gives them as the user moves around. 512 megabytes of ram is key. 1GB is not because this isn’t an iPad, the games simply aren’t as immersive on the iPhone.
Let’s talk about storage. If the next iPhone has 32 gigabytes of ram at the max, I won’t be surprised. The iPhone has been maxed at 32 GBs since the 3GS was released in 2009 so it’s really hard to realize that, in 2012 we’ll still be at the same ceiling. However, I believe iCloud and iTunes in the cloud will mean storage is re imagined on our iOS devices. Already, I don’t use all 64 gigabytes of storage that’s available on my iPad and it’s nice having all of your music with you but it’s not that important anymore when you can fire up iTunes or Spotify and play any song every made via the web. I may be wrong but Apple is enjoying the cost savings of that $5 in Flash price built into every iPhone compared to the pennies it costs them to deliver data via the web. 32 Gigabytes is great for a mobile phone. I got by with a 64 gigabyte SSD on my MacBook Air and iPad and, once you realize that you don’t have to have EVERYTHING with you, 32/64 Gbs feels HUGE.
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I think we all assume this will be iPhone 5. I have my doubts that Apple will continue their current numbering process. We’ll have to see though. Maybe some of my guesses will be right but most will be wrong. I have no more insight than your average rumor site. I’m just a guy with a blog. October 4th, 10am.